Stake Crash: how it works, odds and cash-out tips

Stake Crash is a multiplayer multiplier game. Every round starts at 1.00× and the multiplier climbs, slowly at first and then faster. At a random point it crashes. Anyone still in the round loses their bet; anyone who cashed out earlier wins their bet times the multiplier at the moment they left.

What makes Crash different from most Stake Originals is that everyone plays the same round. The crash point is set before the round starts and is the same for all players, and you can watch other players' bets and cash-outs in the live list beside the graph. The tension comes from deciding, in real time, when to take your money.

Because decisions happen live, connection quality matters more here than in instant games such as Dice or Limbo. If your usual Stake address is slow on your network, the live mirror list shows working addresses with response times measured from your browser.

1. Betting phase. A short countdown runs between rounds. Enter your bet and, if you want, an auto cash-out target, then click Bet. A bet placed after the countdown ends goes into the next round.
2. The climb. The multiplier starts at 1.00× and rises. Your potential payout updates in real time.
3. Cash out. Click Cash Out at any point to lock in your bet times the current multiplier, or let the auto cash-out do it when the target is reached.
4. The crash. The round ends at the crash point. Uncashed bets lose. A round can crash almost immediately, including at 1.00×, in which case every bet in that round loses.

Your result depends only on whether you cashed out below the crash point. Other players' decisions do not affect the crash point or your payout.

With a 1% house edge, the chance that a round reaches any multiplier x before crashing is approximately:

Chance of reaching x = 99% ÷ x

So the multiplier you aim for and your chance of getting there are locked together, exactly as in Limbo. A higher target pays more and hits less often; the expected return stays at 99% of your stake.

The approximation is exact for an auto cash-out with a 1% edge; it is what you should expect over many rounds, not a forecast for the next one.

The 1.00× crash

Some rounds crash at 1.00×, before anyone can cash out. These rounds are part of how the edge is delivered: they are rare, but no target can avoid them. Even a 1.01× target loses when the round crashes at 1.00×.

Manual cash-out does not improve the odds

Cashing out by hand at "the right moment" feels like skill, but because the crash point is already fixed and unknowable, watching the graph gives you no information. Manual cash-outs also add reaction time and network latency. Your click has to reach Stake's servers before the crash; a slow connection can mean cashing out later than you intended — or not at all. Auto cash-out is executed on Stake's side, so it is not affected by lag.

The Auto tab places a bet every round with your chosen cash-out target. Typical controls:

• Cash out at. The multiplier your bet automatically cashes out at.
• Number of Bets. How many rounds to play before stopping.
• On Win / On Loss. Reset to your base bet, or increase the next bet by a percentage.
• Stop on Profit / Stop on Loss. End the run when cumulative profit or loss for the run reaches a figure.

Crash rounds take several seconds each, so auto-bet here is slower than in instant games. That is a useful natural brake. It still runs without supervision, so set a Stop on Loss before you start and keep progressions off unless you have worked out the worst case.

Low cash-out grinding (1.1× to 1.5×)

Players set a low auto cash-out and expect to win most rounds. They do: 90% of rounds pass 1.10×. But the 10% that do not cost a whole stake, while each win returns only 10%. Ten rounds with one loss at 1.10× break roughly even; the edge shows over the long run.

Martingale at 2×

Doubling after each loss at a 2× target, hoping one win clears the deficit. At a 49.5% chance per round, eight losses in a row happen about once in 240 sequences, and by then the next bet is 256 times your base. The bet limit or your balance stops the run.

Waiting for a pattern

Some players sit out until they see several low crashes in a row, then bet expecting a high one is "due". Rounds are independent: a run of low crashes does not make the next one higher. Live history charts are entertainment, not signals.

Two bets, two targets

Splitting a stake between a low target and a high one smooths results slightly but has the same 99% expected return as any single bet.

Following big winners

Copying players in the live list who cashed out high is hindsight. Their cash-out did not influence the crash point.

Whatever the method, the long-run return is 99% of total wagered. A strategy only chooses how often you win and how big the swings are.

Crash cannot use your personal client seed the way Dice or Mines do, because thousands of players share each round. Instead, Stake generates crash points from a chain of hashes committed to in advance: the outcome of each round is derived from a hash that already existed before anyone bet on it, combined with a public value that Stake could not choose. Because every round's hash links to the next, Stake cannot change a crash point without breaking the chain.

In practice you can:

1. Open the round details for a past game to see its hash and crash point.
2. Use Stake's fairness page or an independent crash verifier to recompute the crash point from that hash.
3. Check that each round's hash links to the previous round's, confirming the sequence was fixed in advance.

The exact procedure is documented on Stake's provably fair page; our glossary explains hashes, seeds and nonces in plain language.

• Prefer auto cash-out. It removes reaction time, lag and the temptation to wait for "a bit more".
• Pick a target and keep it. Raising your target mid-session to chase losses increases variance without improving the odds.
• Budget in rounds. Decide how many rounds you will play and the stake per round, then stop.
• Expect streaks. At a 2× target, several losses in a row are routine.
• Stay on a fast connection if you cash out manually. If your Stake address is slow, check is Stake down or pick a quicker working address.

Set deposit limits or take a break using the tools described on our responsible gambling page. 18+.